Great analysis. You're right, we all have political opinions but we can't let those opinions influence our investing decisions. I see it in my chat rooms all the time. I hate blank politician so I'm not investing in this market. I try to think rationally.
I've seen that too, but I think more sophisticated investors do the same thing with policy predictions, with two different kinds of bets:
There are investors who have been waiting for years for the government to give up control of Fannie May and Freddie Mac. They seem to believe that it's the right policy even when there is no indication that it would happen.
At the same time, I know a few people who made good money betting that the banks would be bailed out in 2008. They didn't care if it was the right policy or not.
Fantastic analysis as usual. This piece brilliantly ties together the threads of globalization’s backlash and the disruptive forces reshaping markets and politics. I especially appreciated the historical perspective on how these shifts have unfolded over decades. Curious to see more on how AI might accelerate or complicate this dynamic—its role in both investing and governance feels like the next frontier. As always, your clarity and depth make complex topics so accessible. Thank you
For the Tesla valuation, the present value of the terminal value accounts for over 84% of the total discounted cash flows. Typically, when the terminal value dominates this much, it signals that we're forecasting too far into the future, increasing the model's vulnerability to inaccuracies. What's your thought on this?
Thanks for the insightful piece, it does a good job of putting current market movements into perspective. Considering the macro factors is a good way of seeing the patterns of market behaviour and providing a historical perspective to current issues.
Great analysis. I think that SubStack is a very important platform for writes like myself who hold views as Anti-Globalists and Constitutional Absolutists.
Please share widely. The future of America is at stake. In this essay I will cover the recent LA Riots and how they compare with the George Floyd riots of 2020. The primary purpose of the LA Riots are obviously to deter Trumps ICE deportation strategy in hopes of reversing Trumps efforts till 2028, when the Globalist Democrats can elect another Democrat Globalist. I will also discuss the growing public resistance to the UN's mass immigration strategy being perpetrated throughout the EU and other nations. And finally I will discuss the implications of the 300+ "No Kings" demonstrations, set for June 14th, which are also being staged to stop Trumps mass deportation agenda. To be clear I fully support Trump deporting every Illegal Alien that came in under the Biden Administration.
The Anti-Ice Riots in LA and the coming Color Revolution to Destroy America
Meanwhile Support for Mass Deportation is at an all time high globally
thank you, great coverage as always!
Great analysis. You're right, we all have political opinions but we can't let those opinions influence our investing decisions. I see it in my chat rooms all the time. I hate blank politician so I'm not investing in this market. I try to think rationally.
I've seen that too, but I think more sophisticated investors do the same thing with policy predictions, with two different kinds of bets:
There are investors who have been waiting for years for the government to give up control of Fannie May and Freddie Mac. They seem to believe that it's the right policy even when there is no indication that it would happen.
At the same time, I know a few people who made good money betting that the banks would be bailed out in 2008. They didn't care if it was the right policy or not.
True. True. Let the chart guide you, don't try to guide the chart. Why bet on roughly 50 50 policy decisions that yo don't have an advantage with.
Fantastic analysis as usual. This piece brilliantly ties together the threads of globalization’s backlash and the disruptive forces reshaping markets and politics. I especially appreciated the historical perspective on how these shifts have unfolded over decades. Curious to see more on how AI might accelerate or complicate this dynamic—its role in both investing and governance feels like the next frontier. As always, your clarity and depth make complex topics so accessible. Thank you
For the Tesla valuation, the present value of the terminal value accounts for over 84% of the total discounted cash flows. Typically, when the terminal value dominates this much, it signals that we're forecasting too far into the future, increasing the model's vulnerability to inaccuracies. What's your thought on this?
Refreshing to come across such objective analysis these days.
Excellent. Thank you!
Thanks for the insightful piece, it does a good job of putting current market movements into perspective. Considering the macro factors is a good way of seeing the patterns of market behaviour and providing a historical perspective to current issues.
Great analysis. I think that SubStack is a very important platform for writes like myself who hold views as Anti-Globalists and Constitutional Absolutists.
Please share widely. The future of America is at stake. In this essay I will cover the recent LA Riots and how they compare with the George Floyd riots of 2020. The primary purpose of the LA Riots are obviously to deter Trumps ICE deportation strategy in hopes of reversing Trumps efforts till 2028, when the Globalist Democrats can elect another Democrat Globalist. I will also discuss the growing public resistance to the UN's mass immigration strategy being perpetrated throughout the EU and other nations. And finally I will discuss the implications of the 300+ "No Kings" demonstrations, set for June 14th, which are also being staged to stop Trumps mass deportation agenda. To be clear I fully support Trump deporting every Illegal Alien that came in under the Biden Administration.
The Anti-Ice Riots in LA and the coming Color Revolution to Destroy America
Meanwhile Support for Mass Deportation is at an all time high globally
https://brucecain.substack.com/p/the-anti-ice-riots-in-la-and-the
Here's my latest
The Urgent Need for Global De-Islamification: Part3
My online video discussion with Naomi Wolf on 12/16/2025
https://brucecain.substack.com/p/the-urgent-need-for-global-de-islamification-c72